Well, so far my predictions have been pretty good. Today, Brian Anderson was traded. Holliday was traded to the Cards, and the Rockies did trade for a RP.
Later on: Christmas in July? I'll take a look at the FA's that are to be, and who I think the WS champ will be by then.
Tuesday, July 28, 2009
Thursday, July 23, 2009
Trade predictions
Here are some predictions about trades:
Matt Holliday will be traded to the Cardinals
The Rays will trade for either Victor Martinez or Cliff Lee
Brian Anderson asked for a trade, and it will be granted.
The Rockies will be trading for a RP as early as today.
Lets see if I'm right!
Matt Holliday will be traded to the Cardinals
The Rays will trade for either Victor Martinez or Cliff Lee
Brian Anderson asked for a trade, and it will be granted.
The Rockies will be trading for a RP as early as today.
Lets see if I'm right!
Wednesday, July 22, 2009
Will Doc be traded?
This question has been asked so many times on all shows and websites, and noone really has the answer. But, here's my best version of one.
Yes. He will be traded. A team will come to their senses and realize that this guy can take your team to the WS.
Who will it be? I don't have the answer, but here's some teams you can rule out.
Nats, D'Backs, Padres, Orioles, Royals, A's, Indians, Pirates, and Marlins.
Now, sure its an opinion, but looking at the standings I'd say its factual. The Rays couldn't afford him financially, and neither could the Rockies, according to their GM's.
So lets look at some possible suitors.
Phillies-Give Kyle Drabek if thats what needs to be done. Hamels and Halladay will be unbeatable in the post season, and they will pretty much just ride that pitching staff to the WS again. Odds on them making a trade? 50%.
White Sox-I think they are the most likely team to make a trade. Why? They were close to dealing for Peavy, and they seem very interested in the deal. Odds? 60%.
Red Sox-I dont see why this trade would be necessary for them, considering pitching has clearly been their strong point. I dont think they will part ways with Bucholz either. Odds? 5%.
Yankees-Will they be able to survive with a combination of Mitre/Wang at the #5 spot for the rest of the year? I think so. But the Yankee way could point to them indeed acquiring Halladay, undoubtedly giving them the best rotation in the league. Odds? 20%.
I just touched base on a few teams, but who really knows. A wildcard team could come in here somewhere and swoop in at the last second and get Halladay.
If you ask me who I think he will go to, I'm not really sure. But I am sure that he will indeed be traded before this trade deadline.
Yes. He will be traded. A team will come to their senses and realize that this guy can take your team to the WS.
Who will it be? I don't have the answer, but here's some teams you can rule out.
Nats, D'Backs, Padres, Orioles, Royals, A's, Indians, Pirates, and Marlins.
Now, sure its an opinion, but looking at the standings I'd say its factual. The Rays couldn't afford him financially, and neither could the Rockies, according to their GM's.
So lets look at some possible suitors.
Phillies-Give Kyle Drabek if thats what needs to be done. Hamels and Halladay will be unbeatable in the post season, and they will pretty much just ride that pitching staff to the WS again. Odds on them making a trade? 50%.
White Sox-I think they are the most likely team to make a trade. Why? They were close to dealing for Peavy, and they seem very interested in the deal. Odds? 60%.
Red Sox-I dont see why this trade would be necessary for them, considering pitching has clearly been their strong point. I dont think they will part ways with Bucholz either. Odds? 5%.
Yankees-Will they be able to survive with a combination of Mitre/Wang at the #5 spot for the rest of the year? I think so. But the Yankee way could point to them indeed acquiring Halladay, undoubtedly giving them the best rotation in the league. Odds? 20%.
I just touched base on a few teams, but who really knows. A wildcard team could come in here somewhere and swoop in at the last second and get Halladay.
If you ask me who I think he will go to, I'm not really sure. But I am sure that he will indeed be traded before this trade deadline.
Tuesday, July 21, 2009
New blogs coming very shortly
I will be talking about Halladay, the Brewers latest deal, and the offer made to the Mets that was "turned down" tomorrow!
Wednesday, July 15, 2009
Doc Halladay: Worth it?
The trade deadline is approaching, and this year the big name is Roy Halladay. Granted he is probably the best pitcher in the MLB right now ('08-09: 30-14, 369 IP, 2.80 ERA, 1.08 WHIP), would he hurt a team's farm system too much for it to be worth it?
He is signed through this season, and he would have the option to opt out next season if he is traded. You would think he is going to demand top dollar, maybe more than CC and Johan are making. So not only would the trade demand top prospects, if you want to keep him after this year, it will cost top dollar (Blue Jays GM also said that he will not allow a window to negotiate a contract, unlike the Johan Santana deal).
So the question is, for a team like the Phillies, Yankees, Cardinals (who are all reported interested), would it be worth it? The Yankees are said to have to give up Hughes and/or Joba on top of 2 top prospects (Jackson and Romine, most likely). While it may cost more for the Yankees since its an in division trade, Riccardi (Blue Jays GM) has said that he does not mind trading within the division, he just wants the best deal possible.
So back to the original question. Worth it? Is it worth giving up 1 or possibly 2 young players that have already played in the majors, on top of a few top prospects, as well as taking on a lot of money in the process? YES. It is worth it. Why? Because for a team like the Yankees, adding Halladay will not only guarantee a playoff spot, in my opinion, it will make their rotation for the playoffs unbeilevable. Doc-CC-AJ-Pettite. For the Phillies, Doc and Hamels seem like a 1-2 match made in heaven.
No matter the deal, as long as you aren't hurting your MAJOR LEAGUE team right now, it is worth risking some of your future pieces to get argueably the best pitcher in the game.
He is signed through this season, and he would have the option to opt out next season if he is traded. You would think he is going to demand top dollar, maybe more than CC and Johan are making. So not only would the trade demand top prospects, if you want to keep him after this year, it will cost top dollar (Blue Jays GM also said that he will not allow a window to negotiate a contract, unlike the Johan Santana deal).
So the question is, for a team like the Phillies, Yankees, Cardinals (who are all reported interested), would it be worth it? The Yankees are said to have to give up Hughes and/or Joba on top of 2 top prospects (Jackson and Romine, most likely). While it may cost more for the Yankees since its an in division trade, Riccardi (Blue Jays GM) has said that he does not mind trading within the division, he just wants the best deal possible.
So back to the original question. Worth it? Is it worth giving up 1 or possibly 2 young players that have already played in the majors, on top of a few top prospects, as well as taking on a lot of money in the process? YES. It is worth it. Why? Because for a team like the Yankees, adding Halladay will not only guarantee a playoff spot, in my opinion, it will make their rotation for the playoffs unbeilevable. Doc-CC-AJ-Pettite. For the Phillies, Doc and Hamels seem like a 1-2 match made in heaven.
No matter the deal, as long as you aren't hurting your MAJOR LEAGUE team right now, it is worth risking some of your future pieces to get argueably the best pitcher in the game.
Monday, July 13, 2009
Whats been the biggest suprises so far?
We are at the all star break, and there have been quite a few suprises. Brandon Inge hitting 21 HR's before the all star break, Ben Zobrist batting just below .300 and 17 HR's before the all star break, the Rangers and Mariners just behind the Angels in the division race, just to name a few.
But, who is the most suprising player? For me, its Jason Marquis. Right now, he is sitting at 11-6 with a 3.65 ERA. He was traded from the Cubs to the Rockies for Luis Viscaino (who is no longer with the team). What a steal that was. The most suprising part of Marquis great start is that he's been able to stay consistent at home, which we all know is a notorious hitters park. He is 5-3 with a 3.79 ERA at home, which isn't great, but it is very good for that park. He has had a great start to the season, and if he keeps it up he's defenitley a canidate for comeback player of the year.
What's the most suprising team? The San Francisco Giants. At 10 games over .500, they are off to a very unexpected start. They've gotten outstanding starting pitching from Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain, and most recently a historic performance from Jonathan Sanchez. Barry Zito and Randy Johnson (who is currently on the DL) have been serviceable back of the line starters as well. Despite Pablo Sandoval's losing effort to become an all star (well the fans effort, really) he is still having an outstanding season. Coming off of a 72-90 season, there is no question that the suprise team so far has been the Giants.
Dissapointing player/team coming up next!
But, who is the most suprising player? For me, its Jason Marquis. Right now, he is sitting at 11-6 with a 3.65 ERA. He was traded from the Cubs to the Rockies for Luis Viscaino (who is no longer with the team). What a steal that was. The most suprising part of Marquis great start is that he's been able to stay consistent at home, which we all know is a notorious hitters park. He is 5-3 with a 3.79 ERA at home, which isn't great, but it is very good for that park. He has had a great start to the season, and if he keeps it up he's defenitley a canidate for comeback player of the year.
What's the most suprising team? The San Francisco Giants. At 10 games over .500, they are off to a very unexpected start. They've gotten outstanding starting pitching from Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain, and most recently a historic performance from Jonathan Sanchez. Barry Zito and Randy Johnson (who is currently on the DL) have been serviceable back of the line starters as well. Despite Pablo Sandoval's losing effort to become an all star (well the fans effort, really) he is still having an outstanding season. Coming off of a 72-90 season, there is no question that the suprise team so far has been the Giants.
Dissapointing player/team coming up next!
Friday, July 10, 2009
Jeff Franceour-Ryan Church trade: Overview
The Mets clearly need to shake things up if they want any chance at making a pre all star break push. Sitting at 40-45, in front of only the Washington Nationals in the East, changes needed to be made. Atalanta isn't doing much better though, at 41-44. So does this trade help either team?
Lets look at it from the Mets point of view:
Right now the Mets are last in HR's, and 3rd to last in SLG%. Luckily, Church had only hit 2 HR's and had a lousy .375 SLG at the time of the trade. So, no big loss there. But, Franceour isn't doing much better, and is making a lot more money than Church (Mets did recieve money in the trade though). Franceour has hit 5 HR's and has a terrible .352 SLG. Franceour had one very nice year, and has some upside. But is a change of scenery enough to turn him around? From last season to this season (237 games) his line (BA/OBP/SLG/OPS) is .243/.290/.357/.647....Terrible! We all know Manuel didn't like Church, but how much can you like this guy? Sure he does have upside, and he has had one very good year, but is it enough just to get rid of Church for him?
From the Braves point of the spectrum, I'd say you gotta like it. Franceour stooped so low he was actually sent down to the minors a couple of times. They are getting Church, who in the last 2 seasons line looks like this: .278/.340/.412/752 and 14 HR's. They are giving up Franceour who at one point was extremley valuable and possibly looked at as untouchable, so they sell relatively low in that sense. But, right now I'd say its an upgrade. 5 years from now, who knows though.
Overall: Who is the winner of this deal? For the immediate future I would say the Braves. Church is pretty solid and will give you about 15 HR's and bat in the high .270's possible low .280's. Here's the key stat: Franceour's numbers away from home: .251/.283/.397/.680. Church's numbers away from home: .286/.352/.463/.815.....Should be interesting.
Lets look at it from the Mets point of view:
Right now the Mets are last in HR's, and 3rd to last in SLG%. Luckily, Church had only hit 2 HR's and had a lousy .375 SLG at the time of the trade. So, no big loss there. But, Franceour isn't doing much better, and is making a lot more money than Church (Mets did recieve money in the trade though). Franceour has hit 5 HR's and has a terrible .352 SLG. Franceour had one very nice year, and has some upside. But is a change of scenery enough to turn him around? From last season to this season (237 games) his line (BA/OBP/SLG/OPS) is .243/.290/.357/.647....Terrible! We all know Manuel didn't like Church, but how much can you like this guy? Sure he does have upside, and he has had one very good year, but is it enough just to get rid of Church for him?
From the Braves point of the spectrum, I'd say you gotta like it. Franceour stooped so low he was actually sent down to the minors a couple of times. They are getting Church, who in the last 2 seasons line looks like this: .278/.340/.412/752 and 14 HR's. They are giving up Franceour who at one point was extremley valuable and possibly looked at as untouchable, so they sell relatively low in that sense. But, right now I'd say its an upgrade. 5 years from now, who knows though.
Overall: Who is the winner of this deal? For the immediate future I would say the Braves. Church is pretty solid and will give you about 15 HR's and bat in the high .270's possible low .280's. Here's the key stat: Franceour's numbers away from home: .251/.283/.397/.680. Church's numbers away from home: .286/.352/.463/.815.....Should be interesting.
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