The Mets clearly need to shake things up if they want any chance at making a pre all star break push. Sitting at 40-45, in front of only the Washington Nationals in the East, changes needed to be made. Atalanta isn't doing much better though, at 41-44. So does this trade help either team?
Lets look at it from the Mets point of view:
Right now the Mets are last in HR's, and 3rd to last in SLG%. Luckily, Church had only hit 2 HR's and had a lousy .375 SLG at the time of the trade. So, no big loss there. But, Franceour isn't doing much better, and is making a lot more money than Church (Mets did recieve money in the trade though). Franceour has hit 5 HR's and has a terrible .352 SLG. Franceour had one very nice year, and has some upside. But is a change of scenery enough to turn him around? From last season to this season (237 games) his line (BA/OBP/SLG/OPS) is .243/.290/.357/.647....Terrible! We all know Manuel didn't like Church, but how much can you like this guy? Sure he does have upside, and he has had one very good year, but is it enough just to get rid of Church for him?
From the Braves point of the spectrum, I'd say you gotta like it. Franceour stooped so low he was actually sent down to the minors a couple of times. They are getting Church, who in the last 2 seasons line looks like this: .278/.340/.412/752 and 14 HR's. They are giving up Franceour who at one point was extremley valuable and possibly looked at as untouchable, so they sell relatively low in that sense. But, right now I'd say its an upgrade. 5 years from now, who knows though.
Overall: Who is the winner of this deal? For the immediate future I would say the Braves. Church is pretty solid and will give you about 15 HR's and bat in the high .270's possible low .280's. Here's the key stat: Franceour's numbers away from home: .251/.283/.397/.680. Church's numbers away from home: .286/.352/.463/.815.....Should be interesting.
Friday, July 10, 2009
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